Donald's not going to get impeached. I see the news too. Things seem to be heating up with the Russia investigation, his business dealings, and his finances, but when are they not? This isn't the first time I thought the man was finished, I must've said "this has GOT to be it" at least 20 times already and it's always quiet soon after. People, even Democratic lawmakers, are increasingly pointing toward impeachment as a probable outcome and I say unlikely. I'd go a step further and say Democrats in Congress floating the prospect so confidently are at the very least misleading the public.
But before I get into my reasoning, for those of you who are unfamiliar, here is a quick overview of the impeachment process.
1. Impeachment must begin in the House of Representatives where any member can introduce articles of impeachment under one or more of these three areas: treason, bribery, and high crimes & misdemeanors.
2. The House Judiciary Committee votes on whether to proceed with the article(s), needing a simple majority (50% +1) to move forward.
3. The entire House of Representatives votes on whether or not to impeach the President. Also needing just a simple majority, if enough yes votes are secured the President is then officially impeached.
A vote by the House to impeach the President is indeed an official impeachment, however, it is not enough to remove the President from office. Impeachment itself is not the removal of an elected official, it is just the first step. The House files the charges, the Senate carries out the trial.
4. Proceedings then move to the Senate where upon conducting a proper trial, hearing evidence from both sides, 67% of the Senate must vote to convict the President. Only then can he be ousted from office. If not, the President has been impeached but acquitted, not impeached and removed. He will then serve out the rest of his term.
No President has ever successfully been impeached and removed. Just three Presidents out of 45 have been impeached by the House; Andrew Johnson, Bill Clinton, and Richard Nixon (he quit before things were finalized, weak boi). Back to the present, there are Republican majorities in the House and the Senate, it's a whole Republican shebang on the Hill. Not only is there no feasible way to earn a 67% vote in the Senate, I don't even think the articles would make it out of the House. Impeachment may be a legal process on its face, but it is absolutely a political practice.
Donald has turned Republican values upside down and inside out and the GOP just can't denounce him. Maybe 2 or 3 Congressmen step up but even they can't resist for long. Take the tax bill as an example; Corker, Flake, Murkowski, Johnson, all that shit talking and at the end of the day they fell right in line. Republicans in Congress would rather jump into the dumpster fire they started than step to the other side and help put it out. Donald will probably have to face the music, but he'll weather the whole song in the safety of the Oval Office.
I don't think it matters either way because Donald's would be replacement, Mike Pence, is twice as smart and just as bad, same thing with Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell. If you want to make a difference, like Barack Obama said, you have to vote in every election all the way up the ladder. Congress is the key. "You got to vote all the time [...]. When it’s time to elect a member of Congress or a city councilman, or a school board member, or a sheriff. That’s how we change our politics -- by electing people at every level who are representative of and accountable to us." Don't sleep.